Equifax has been monitoring the impact of government stimulus on commercial SME lending, as well as tracking trade payments to determine the impact of COVID-19. Key highlights for the end of the financial year are:
- Following the Government’s rescue packages that kicked off from 22 March. commercial lending has increased. This is not only across participating lenders* but the market in general
- The size and quality of commercial loans has also increased with Equifax observing a marked increase in the borrowing amount per application for participating lenders and an improvement in the quality of these applicants for government backed loans (up 15pts)
- The rescue package boosted the average loan size per application from $33K in February to $44K at the end of May 2020 for participating lenders
- Those lenders not participating had an increase of average loan size from $20K in February to $26K at the end of May 2020
- Most lending post the government stimulus has been business loans (40-55%), however approaching the end of financial year applications for asset finance accelerated
- The demand for credit is predominantly being driven by larger commercial entities rather than smaller entities
Equifax is also now seeing a distinct trend in businesses paying later across the board. Some industries are being impacted more than others, as a result of COVID-19 shutdowns.
- The food and accommodation services sector has been hardest hit at 14+ days beyond term (DBT), however other industries are also feeling the pressure - information media and telecommunications services (10+ DBT) and financial and insurance services (8+ DBT) have had sharp inclines in the past month
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* https://treasury.gov.au/coronavirus/sme-guarantee-scheme/lenders
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